Will LeBron James Sign His Next NBA Contract by the Deadline?
Markets price the chance that LeBron James signs his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026 at 100.0%, updated 53 d ago.
Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 9, 2026?
Updated · Volume $109.5K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 24, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 27, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 3, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 30, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 12, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 6, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by August 9, 2026? | 99.5% | — |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 20, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will LeBron sign his next NBA contract by July 13, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
The earliest deadlines are long shots, while the headline and all later dates are all but priced in.
Context
The headline contract probability has moved little, holding at 100.0%. This market resolves to Yes if LeBron James agrees to his next NBA contract on or before the listed date, as confirmed by official team information or a consensus of credible reports. If he fails to sign, retires, or no agreement date can be determined by 11:59 PM ET on the deadline, it resolves to No. All times are Eastern. The odds rest heavily on whether an announcement arrives before the deadline. As long as no retirement news breaks and the date passes without a signing, the market would swing sharply. The resolution date is.
FAQ
What determines a Yes outcome?
LeBron James must agree to his next NBA contract on or before the listed date, based on official team statements or a consensus of credible sources.
What leads to a No resolution?
No if he doesn't sign, retires, or the agreement date can't be determined by the deadline.
How is the cutoff time defined?
The deadline is 11:59 PM Eastern Time on the listed date. All times are measured in ET.
Who provides the resolution source?
The primary source is the acquiring team's official information. A consensus of credible reports may also be used.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice