NCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will P18 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy at 50.0%.

50.0%0.0 pts 24h

Will P18 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?

Updated · Volume $276.7K

48%49%51%52%Sep 23Sep 29Oct 5Oct 11Oct 17
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Jeremiah Smith win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?55.5%+2.5
Will P18 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P19 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P28 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P22 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P12 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P11 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P9 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P15 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P24 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P26 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P30 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P29 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P16 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P27 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P17 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P14 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will someone else win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P6 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P8 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P23 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P5 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P10 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P20 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P4 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P7 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P25 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P13 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will P21 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?50.0%0.0
Will Darian Mensah win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?11.5%+1.0
Will Gunner Stockton win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?7.3%0.0
Will Kamario Taylor win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?4.5%0.0
Will Jadan Baugh win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?4.5%0.0
Will Trinidad Chambliss win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?4.3%-0.7
Will CJ Carr win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?4.2%-2.3
Will Jesse Legree win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?4.0%0.0
Will LaNorris Sellers win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?4.0%-0.1
Will Keelon Russell win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?3.9%+0.4
Will Malachi Toney win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?3.1%-0.4
Will Josh Hoover win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?2.6%+1.6
Will Arch Manning win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?1.1%-0.5
Will Dante Moore win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.8%-1.2
Will Julian Sayin win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.7%+0.1
Will Ahmad Hardy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.5%0.0
Will Marcel Reed win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.5%0.0
Will Kewan Lacy win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.5%0.0
Will Kevin Jennings win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.5%+0.0
Will Drew Mestemaker win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.5%-0.0
Will Bo Jackson win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.5%0.0
Will Will Hammond win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.4%+0.1
Will Austin Mack win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.4%+0.1
Will Brendan Sorsby win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.4%+0.1
Will Rocco Becht win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.4%-0.1
Will Sam Leavitt win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.4%0.0
Will John Mateer win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.1%0.0
Will Jayden Maiava win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.1%0.0
Will Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.1%0.0
Will Bryce Underwood win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.1%0.0
Will Byrum Brown win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.1%0.0
Will Demond Williams Jr. win the 2026 Heisman Trophy?0.1%0.0

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 60 tracked outcomes and $276.7K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will P18 win the 2026 Heisman Trophy, is priced at 50.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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