Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490 at 31.9%.
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490?
Updated · Volume $29.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480? | 79.5% | +1.0 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | 31.9% | -33.1 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1495? | 22.0% | -8.5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? | 13.5% | -4.5 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1510? | 6.5% | +0.5 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 153.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 5 tracked outcomes and $29.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490, is priced at 31.9%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice