Jul 25, 2026
Probability rose from 94.3% to 96.9% — a 2.6-point move over the past day.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model Release: Live Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $378.7K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 31, 2026? | 0.1% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 28, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 13, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 9, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 15, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 17, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 7, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 8, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 25, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 27, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 11, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on or prior to July 1, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 29, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 5, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 19, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 14, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 23, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 3, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 21, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 20, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 10, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 26, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 24, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 30, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 18, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 16, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 22, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 4, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 12, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 6, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on July 2, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 89.5% to 96.0% — a 6.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 21, 2026
Probability fell from 86.0% to 78.5% — a 7.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 18, 2026
Probability rose from 76.5% to 85.5% — a 9.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 17, 2026
Probability rose from 59.5% to 77.5% — a 18.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 16, 2026
Probability fell from 78.5% to 59.5% — a 19.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice