Next James Bond actor?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond at 38.8%.
38.8%-3.2 pts 24h
Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?
Updated · Volume $984.3K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | 38.8% | -3.2 |
| Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | 26.5% | +5.6 |
| No one announced as next James Bond? | 21.6% | +0.4 |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | 6.9% | -2.2 |
| Richard Madden announced as next James Bond? | 3.0% | +0.1 |
| Harris Dickinson announced as next James Bond? | 2.3% | -1.4 |
| Jack O'Connell announced as next James Bond? | 1.7% | -1.6 |
| Tom Francis announced as next James Bond? | 1.0% | -1.6 |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? | 0.8% | -0.1 |
| Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| Henry Cavill announced as next James Bond? | 0.7% | -0.1 |
| Tom Hardy announced as next James Bond? | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Theo James announced as next James Bond? | 0.5% | -1.2 |
| Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Jonathan Bailey announced as next James Bond? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Tom Blyth announced as next James Bond? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Timothee Chalamet announced as next James Bond? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| James Collier announced as next James Bond? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| James Norton announced as next James Bond? | 0.3% | -0.1 |
| Nicholas Galitzine announced as next James Bond? | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Tom Holland announced as next James Bond? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Michael B Jordan announced as next James Bond? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 15 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 29 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 20 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 16 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 21 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 17 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 24 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 28 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 23 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 10 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Someone else announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 19 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 14 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 30 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 9 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 18 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 22 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 26 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 25 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| A woman announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 27 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 11 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 12 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 8 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Placeholder 13 announced as next James Bond? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 89.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 49 tracked outcomes and $984.3K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond, is priced at 38.8%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice