Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 90.5% to 100.0% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.
Hong Kong July 2026 Precipitation: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in JulyEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $58.4K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Hong Kong have 600mm or more of precipitation in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have between 400-425mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have between 525-550mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have between 550-575mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have between 575-600mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have between 475-500mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have between 500-525mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Hong Kong have less than 400mm of precipitation in July? | 0.1% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice