Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Other win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election at 50.0%.
50.0%
Will Other win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?
Updated · Volume $251.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Eduardo Paes win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 91.2% | +1.5 |
| Will Other win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 3.7% | — |
| Will Rafa Luz win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 3.2% | — |
| Will Anthony Garotinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Fred Pacheco win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Wilson Witzel win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will André Ceciliano win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Chico Machado win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Dr. Luizinho win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Tarcísio Motta win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Lindbergh Farias win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will André Português win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Eduardo Pazuello win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Nicola Miccione win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election? | 0.1% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 148.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 16 tracked outcomes and $251.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Other win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice