Sachsen-Anhalt 2026 Election: AfD Odds & Probability

Prediction markets have settled Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary electionsEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement

Updated · Volume $961.1K

96%97%99%100%Aug 14Aug 20Aug 26Sep 1Sep 7
OutcomeProbability24h
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?100.0%
Will BSW win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.1%
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.1%
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.1%
Will FDP win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.1%
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.1%
Will The Left win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.1%
Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will another party win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%
Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections?0.0%

Context

This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.

The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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