SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16 at 65.0%.
65.0%
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
Updated · Volume $121.2K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by August 31? | 97.4% | 0.0 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? | 93.5% | -1.0 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode? | 89.5% | -3.5 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 17? | 80.0% | — |
| Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 achieve a successful splashdown? | 78.5% | +0.5 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16? | 65.0% | — |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster? | 1.0% | -0.1 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15? | 0.1% | -0.2 |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by June 30? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 438.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 9 tracked outcomes and $121.2K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16, is priced at 65.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice