Sep 9, 2026
Probability fell from 53.5% to 43.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Two SpaceX Starships Dock by 2027: Current Odds
Prediction markets price Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027 at 48.0%.
48.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
Updated · Volume $70.1K
Across platforms
4.0 pt spreadWill two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027?
- Polymarket48.0%
- Kalshi44.0%
Matched automatically by question and resolution date. How we match.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? | 48.0% | 0.0 |
| Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | 3.5% | 0.0 |
The top 2 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
Aug 28, 2026
Probability fell from 60.0% to 57.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability fell from 63.0% to 59.0% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 25, 2026
Probability rose from 51.0% to 63.0% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 25, 2026
Probability fell from 69.5% to 51.0% — a 18.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 24, 2026
Probability rose from 54.5% to 73.0% — a 18.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 23, 2026
Probability rose from 54.0% to 61.5% — a 7.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 22, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 54.0% — a 6.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 21, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 57.5% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 20, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 59.0% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 2 tracked outcomes and $70.1K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027, is priced at 48.0%.
Data: Polymarket, Kalshi · Methodology · Not financial advice