Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia at 81.5%.
81.5%+2.0 pts 24h
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?
Updated · Volume $2.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 81.5% | +2.0 |
| Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 14.8% | -0.5 |
| Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 2.9% | -2.4 |
| Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 2.0% | -0.7 |
| Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 0.1% | -0.2 |
| Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 0.1% | — |
| Will another candidate be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 101.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 10 tracked outcomes and $2.4M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia, is priced at 81.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice