Aug 1, 2026
Resolved: Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July — NO. A week before, markets priced it at 21%.
Prediction markets have settled Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Updated · Volume $25.0M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $62,500 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in July? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $37,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $42,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July? | 0.0% | — |
Aug 1, 2026
Resolved: Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July — NO. A week before, markets priced it at 21%.
Jul 31, 2026
Probability rose from 90.5% to 100.0% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 30, 2026
Probability rose from 61.5% to 100.0% — a 38.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 24, 2026
Probability rose from 50.5% to 100.0% — a 49.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 20, 2026
Probability rose from 94.5% to 100.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice