Where will Julian Alvarez transfer?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Julian Alvarez join Team H at 50.0%.

50.0%

Will Julian Alvarez join Team H?

Updated · Volume $1.2M

Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.

OutcomeProbability24h
Will Julian Alvarez stay at Atletico Madrid?99.1%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team H?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team C?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team E?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team I?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team J?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team F?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team A?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team B?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team D?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join another team?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Team G?50.0%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Barcelona?0.1%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Manchester City?0.1%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Real Madrid?0.1%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Chelsea?0.1%—
Will Julian Alvarez join Arsenal?0.1%—

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 17 tracked outcomes and $1.2M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Julian Alvarez join Team H, is priced at 50.0%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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