Maxx Crosby 2026 Team Odds: Raiders Hold Firm as Favorites
Prediction markets give Maxx Crosby a 78.8% chance of staying with the Las Vegas Raiders in 2026, making him the the favored outcome outcome by a wide margin. The market will resolve by Sep 1, 2026 based on official team announcements.
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next?
Updated · Volume $6.3M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? | 78.8% | -0.2 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next? | 3.6% | 0.0 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Seattle Seahawks next? | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Baltimore Ravens next? | 2.3% | -0.1 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Pittsburgh Steelers next? | 2.3% | +0.2 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Kansas City Chiefs next? | 1.9% | +0.1 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Minnesota Vikings next? | 1.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Detroit Lions next? | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Indianapolis Colts next? | 1.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? | 0.8% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? | 0.7% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Arizona Cardinals next? | 0.5% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next? | 0.5% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Jacksonville Jaguars next? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Green Bay Packers next? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Carolina Panthers next? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Cincinnati Bengals next? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Tennessee Titans next? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Atlanta Falcons next? | 0.2% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Houston Texans next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Chargers next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Buffalo Bills next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Chicago Bears next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Tampa Bay Buccaneers next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for New Orleans Saints next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Washington Commanders next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Giants next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for New England Patriots next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Denver Broncos next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Miami Dolphins next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for Cleveland Browns next? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Maxx Crosby play for another team next? | 0.0% | — |
The Las Vegas Raiders are the clear frontrunner, while all other potential destinations remain remote long shots.
Context
The probability that Crosby stays with the Raiders currently stands at 78.8%. The lowest it has traded during this period is 73.0%, and the highest is 85.5%. This market resolves based on the next team Maxx Crosby officially joins by Sep 1, 2026. If he has not joined a new team by that deadline, it resolves to the Las Vegas Raiders. Should he sign with a team not listed among the outcomes, or if he is released and remains unsigned, retires, or is not under contract, it resolves to 'Other'. Transfers between a team’s senior and reserve units are disregarded. An official signing announcement before the close date triggers an immediate resolution. The primary resolution sources are official team announcements, with consensus credible media reporting used as a fallback. The probability could move on any official signing announcement from the Raiders or another franchise. The approaching Sep 1, 2026 deadline may also concentrate attention, as the absence of news could reinforce the Raiders' position.
FAQ
What happens if Maxx Crosby doesn't sign with any team by August 31, 2026?
If no new team is officially joined by that date, the market resolves to “Las Vegas Raiders”.
What counts as an official signing for this market?
An official announcement by the Las Vegas Raiders or the acquiring team is the primary source. Consensus credible media reporting may also be used.
Can the market resolve before the deadline?
Yes. If an official signing announcement is made prior to the close date, the market resolves immediately to that team.
What if Crosby joins a team not listed in the outcomes?
The market would resolve to “Other”. The same applies if he is released and not signed, retires, or is not under contract by the deadline.
Are practice squad or affiliate team transfers considered?
No, transfers between a team’s senior team and its reserve or affiliate teams are ignored.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice