Aug 26, 2026
Probability rose from 0.1% to 4.3% — a 4.2-point move over the past day.
Tyreek Hill 2026 Team: Odds & Probability
Markets give a unlikely 5.5% chance that Tyreek Hill’s next team is Kansas City, with the resolution deadline set for August 2026.
5.5%+0.1 pts 24h
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?
Updated · Volume $5.1M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next? | 5.5% | +0.1 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Chargers next? | 1.4% | -0.9 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Chicago Bears next? | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the San Francisco 49ers next? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Pittsburgh Steelers next? | 0.5% | +0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Los Angeles Rams next? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the New York Giants next? | 0.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Philadelphia Eagles next? | 0.4% | +0.2 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the New England Patriots next? | 0.1% | -0.5 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Minnesota Vikings next? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Baltimore Ravens next? | 0.1% | +0.1 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Las Vegas Raiders next? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Buffalo Bills next? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for the Dallas Cowboys next? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for Team J next? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for Team K next? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for Team I next? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for another team next? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Tyreek Hill play for Team L next? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The Kansas City Chiefs outcome is the market’s focus, the Raiders are an unlikely alternative, and all other possibilities remain long shots.
Context
Aug 25, 2026
Probability rose from 0.1% to 4.6% — a 4.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 25, 2026
Probability fell from 2.6% to 0.9% — a 1.7-point move over the past day.
Aug 23, 2026
Probability fell from 5.3% to 4.0% — a 1.3-point move over the past day.
Aug 22, 2026
Probability rose from 1.6% to 7.6% — a 6.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 21, 2026
Probability rose from 3.3% to 6.2% — a 2.9-point move over the past day.
Aug 21, 2026
Probability rose from 4.9% to 8.5% — a 3.7-point move over the past day.
Aug 20, 2026
Probability fell from 45.1% to 38.2% — a 7.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 19, 2026
Probability rose from 2.4% to 45.8% — a 43.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 18, 2026
Probability rose from 2.6% to 47.1% — a 44.5-point move over the past day.
The probability now stands at 5.5%, having moved between 0.1% and 51.2% over the observed period. It shifted +0.1 pts in the past day
The market resolves to the next NFL team Tyreek Hill joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If he does not join a new team by then, or if he is released and unsigned, retires, or is not under contract, it resolves to “Other”. An official signing announcement before the close date triggers immediate resolution, using official information from the NFL or the acquiring team. The resolution date is Aug 31, 2026, and any official signing announcement would resolve the market early. The reliance on team or league announcements means that verified news directly settles the contract.
FAQ
What triggers an early resolution?
An official signing announcement by an NFL team before the close date resolves the market immediately.
What happens if Hill doesn’t sign anywhere?
If he is not under contract with any NFL team by the deadline, the market resolves to “Other”.
Do reserve or practice squad assignments count?
No, only moves to a team’s senior team are considered; assignments to reserve or affiliate squads are ignored.
Who confirms the outcome?
Resolution is based on official information from the NFL or the acquiring team.
What if he joins a team not listed?
If he joins a team not among the named options, the market resolves to “Other”.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice