Jul 31, 2026
Resolved: Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026 — YES. A week before, markets priced it at 99%.
Will Anthropic Have the Best AI Model in July 2026? Odds & Probability: Result & Final Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026Resolved — markets priced this at 100% a week before
Updated · Volume $8.2M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Company G have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company B have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company A have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company C have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company K have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company I have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company D have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company F have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will any other company have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company E have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company H have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice