Jul 28, 2026
Probability rose from 94.8% to 98.1% — a 3.2-point move over the past day.
Will Anthropic Have Best Math AI Model End July? Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026 at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026Event concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $387.7K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Company A have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Baidu have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will xAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company K have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Microsoft have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Z.ai have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company G have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company I have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company H have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Meituan have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Meta have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company E have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Amazon have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company B have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company D have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will ByteDance have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company C have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Moonshot have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Company F have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will any other company have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 27, 2026
Probability fell from 95.9% to 93.8% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 25, 2026
Probability rose from 94.2% to 96.0% — a 1.9-point move over the past day.
Jul 24, 2026
Probability fell from 96.5% to 93.8% — a 2.8-point move over the past day.
Jul 23, 2026
Probability fell from 96.0% to 93.5% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 92.5% to 96.0% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 76.0% to 87.0% — a 11.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 18, 2026
Probability fell from 87.5% to 76.0% — a 11.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice