Sep 1, 2026
Probability fell from 95.1% to 93.7% — a 1.4-point move over the past day.
Next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026: Market Odds
Prediction markets price Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at 95.2%.
95.2%+0.8 pts 24h
Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings?
Updated · Volume $598.7K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings? | 95.2% | +0.8 |
| Will Khamzat Chimaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 2.9% | -0.2 |
| Will Ilia Topuria be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 1.3% | -0.0 |
| Will Petr Yan be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.7% | 0.0 |
| Will Tom Aspinall be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.5% | -0.1 |
| Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.3% | -0.1 |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Alex Pereira be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Max Holloway be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Joshua Van be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Arman Tsarukyan be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Jack Della Maddalena be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter G be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter D be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter A be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter E be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter B be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another fighter be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter C be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter F be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 98.9% of the total probability.
Context
Aug 30, 2026
Probability fell from 96.2% to 93.8% — a 2.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 26, 2026
Probability rose from 94.5% to 96.5% — a 2.1-point move over the past day.
Aug 23, 2026
Probability rose from 94.3% to 96.4% — a 2.1-point move over the past day.
Aug 22, 2026
Probability rose from 94.3% to 96.3% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Aug 17, 2026
Probability rose from 79.8% to 94.1% — a 14.3-point move over the past day.
Aug 16, 2026
Probability rose from 73.9% to 90.6% — a 16.8-point move over the past day.
Aug 15, 2026
Probability rose from 74.5% to 81.8% — a 7.4-point move over the past day.
Aug 14, 2026
Probability fell from 81.5% to 76.1% — a 5.3-point move over the past day.
Aug 13, 2026
Probability rose from 74.7% to 81.3% — a 6.6-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 23 tracked outcomes and $598.7K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Islam Makhachev remain #1 in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings, is priced at 95.2%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice