Alexander Volkanovski next opponent: odds & probability

UFC featherweight Alexander Volkanovski does not yet have his next fight booked, but prediction markets are already placing heavy bets on the identity of his opponent. The contract asks which fighter will be officially announced by the UFC to face him, and it expires on Jan 1, 2027 if no announcement materializes. The standout name is Movsar Evloev, trading at 84.5%—strongly favored according to this market. That probability towers over the rest of the field. Aljamain Sterling, the next closest candidate, holds a 8.6% chance, which qualifies as unlikely but trails by a substantial margin. Beyond Sterling, the odds collapse. Fighters such as Lerone Murphy (1.4%), Yair Rodriguez (0.9%), and Arnold Allen (0.9%) all sit at levels that amount to being effectively ruled out. The same goes for Diego Lopes, Jean Silva, and several other listed names. Even the 'Other' option—which would capture any unlisted fighter or a failure to announce a bout by the deadline—trades at 0.0%, a sign that traders see almost no chance of a twist. Resolution depends on the UFC posting an official bout with a confirmed date. Rumours, speculation, or announcements lacking a specific date do not count. Only information from ufc.com will be used to determine the winner. If the promotion names a fighter not on the list, the contract slides to 'Other'. The long deadline gives the market ample time to react if talks shift, but for now the consensus is remarkably one-sided. Trading volume stands at $1.1M.