Oct 17, 2026
Probability rose from 38.4% to 46.5% — a 8.2-point move over the past day.
Who Will Announce a 2028 Presidential Run Before 2027? Prediction Market Odds
Prediction markets price Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027 at 25.9%.
25.9%-10.4 pts 24h
Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?
Updated · Volume $1.2M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 25.9% | -10.4 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 24.8% | +14.6 |
| Will Phil Murphy announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 23.8% | -1.8 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 16.5% | +0.5 |
| Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 13.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 12.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Ron DeSantis announce a presidential run before 2027? | 11.4% | +0.5 |
| Will Ted Cruz announce a presidential run before 2027? | 10.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Raphael Warnock announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 9.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 7.8% | +2.6 |
| Will Glenn Youngkin announce a presidential run before 2027? | 7.4% | -0.1 |
| Will Andy Beshear announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 7.4% | -0.1 |
| Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 7.3% | -1.1 |
| Will Cory Booker announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 7.0% | +0.1 |
| Will Nikki Haley announce a presidential run before 2027? | 7.0% | +1.4 |
| Will Don Lemon announce a presidential run before 2027? | 6.8% | +0.2 |
| Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? | 6.5% | +0.5 |
| Will J.B. Pritzker announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | 6.4% | +0.6 |
| Will Josh Shapiro announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | 5.5% | +0.1 |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy announce a presidential run before 2027? | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? | 5.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 5.3% | +0.1 |
| Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? | 5.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Greg Abbott announce a presidential run before 2027? | 5.1% | +0.3 |
| Will Liz Cheney announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 5.1% | +0.8 |
| Will Andrew Yang announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 4.9% | +0.4 |
| Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 4.7% | +0.2 |
| Will Jon Stewart announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 4.7% | 0.0 |
| Will George Clooney announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 4.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Hunter Biden announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 4.5% | +0.3 |
| Will Tom Brady announce a presidential run before 2027? | 4.3% | -0.5 |
| Will Tucker Carlson announce a presidential run before 2027? | 4.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. announce a presidential run before 2027? | 4.0% | +0.2 |
| Will Oprah Winfrey announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 4.0% | -0.2 |
| Will Marco Rubio announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.9% | 0.0 |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.6% | 0.0 |
| Will Erika Kirk announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.5% | -0.2 |
| Will Donald Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 3.4% | 0.0 |
| Will John Fetterman announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Wes Moore announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 3.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Kristi Noem announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.2% | -0.9 |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.2% | 0.0 |
| Will John Thune announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.1% | -1.0 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 3.1% | +0.1 |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 3.1% | -0.2 |
| Will Michelle Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 3.1% | -0.1 |
| Will Elon Musk announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Candace Owens announce a presidential run before 2027? | 3.0% | -0.1 |
| Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027? | 2.9% | 0.0 |
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? | 2.8% | +0.1 |
| Will Matt Gaetz announce a presidential run before 2027? | 2.6% | 0.0 |
| Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027? | 2.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Bernie Sanders announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 2.4% | -0.1 |
| Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 2.3% | -0.6 |
| Will Mike Pence announce a presidential run before 2027? | 2.2% | +0.1 |
| Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 2.1% | -0.1 |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard announce a presidential run before 2027? | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Kim Kardashian announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 2.1% | -0.5 |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 1.8% | 0.0 |
| Will Roy Cooper announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027? | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Tim Walz announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 1.4% | -0.1 |
| Will Hillary Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 1.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Mark Cuban announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 1.3% | +0.4 |
| Will Byron Donalds announce a presidential run before 2027? | 1.2% | +0.6 |
| Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Stephen A. Smith announce a Presidential run before 2027? | 0.6% | +0.1 |
Context
Oct 17, 2026
Probability rose from 10.4% to 27.5% — a 17.1-point move over the past day.
Oct 16, 2026
Probability rose from 27.1% to 37.4% — a 10.2-point move over the past day.
Oct 16, 2026
Probability rose from 6.0% to 43.8% — a 37.8-point move over the past day.
Oct 15, 2026
Probability rose from 26.4% to 36.6% — a 10.3-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Oct 15, 2026
Probability rose from 3.1% to 40.6% — a 37.5-point move over the past day.
Oct 13, 2026
Probability rose from 16.5% to 24.7% — a 8.2-point move over the past day.
Oct 12, 2026
Probability rose from 15.5% to 28.7% — a 13.2-point move over the past day.
Oct 10, 2026
Probability rose from 5.7% to 53.1% — a 47.5-point move over the past day.
Oct 7, 2026
Probability rose from 4.5% to 14.4% — a 9.9-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 71 tracked outcomes and $1.2M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027, is priced at 25.9%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice