Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will another candidate be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27 at 50.0%.
50.0%
Will another candidate be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
Updated · Volume $530.5K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 74.5% | +7.5 |
| Will another candidate be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Nirav Shah be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 13.1% | +0.8 |
| Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 10.5% | — |
| Will Jordan Wood be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 1.6% | — |
| Will Dan Kleban be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 1.3% | — |
| Will Janet Mills be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 0.5% | — |
| Will Chellie Pingree be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Jared Golden be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Graham Platner be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Valli Geiger be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Paige Loud be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Aaron Frey be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | 0.1% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 149.7% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 13 tracked outcomes and $530.5K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will another candidate be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice