Who Will Be UFC Bantamweight Champion at End of 2026?

Prediction markets price Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 at 58.5%.

58.5%+1.5 pts 24h

Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?

Updated · Volume $460.3K

45%52%60%68%Aug 12Aug 20Aug 27Sep 4Sep 11
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?58.5%+1.5
Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?38.5%-0.5
Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?1.3%-0.1
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?1.1%0.0
Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.1%0.0
Will David Martinez be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Cory Sandhagen be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Mario Bautista be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.1%0.0
Will Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.1%0.0
Will another fighter be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Fighter D be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Fighter A be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Fighter G be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Fighter C be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Fighter F be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Fighter B be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.0%0.0
Will Fighter E be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 5 outcomes account for 99.5% of the total probability.

Context

Sep 1, 2026

Probability fell from 62.0% to 52.5% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 31, 2026

Probability fell from 61.5% to 51.0% — a 10.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 30, 2026

Probability rose from 58.5% to 62.0% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 29, 2026

Probability rose from 54.0% to 63.5% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 28, 2026

Probability fell from 60.0% to 53.5% — a 6.5-point move over the past day.

Show earlier updates

Aug 27, 2026

Probability rose from 56.5% to 61.5% — a 5.0-point move over the past day.

Aug 24, 2026

Probability rose from 42.5% to 57.5% — a 15.0-point move over the past day.

Aug 23, 2026

Probability rose from 35.0% to 44.5% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 23, 2026

Probability fell from 61.0% to 54.5% — a 6.5-point move over the past day.

Aug 22, 2026

Probability fell from 60.0% to 58.0% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 19 tracked outcomes and $460.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026, is priced at 58.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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