Sep 21, 2026
Probability rose from 58.5% to 61.5% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Prediction markets price Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026 at 62.5%.
Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $461.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 62.5% | +4.0 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 30.5% | -2.0 |
| Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 2.4% | 0.0 |
| Will Sean O'Malley be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.8% | 0.0 |
| Will David Martinez be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Cory Sandhagen be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Deiveson Figueiredo be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Marlon Vera be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.1% | -0.1 |
| Will Umar Nurmagomedov be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Aiemann Zahabi be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Mario Bautista be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter G be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter D be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter C be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another fighter be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter B be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter E be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter A be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Fighter F be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.7% of the total probability.
Sep 21, 2026
Probability rose from 58.5% to 61.5% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 20, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 58.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 19, 2026
Probability rose from 58.0% to 62.0% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 19, 2026
Probability rose from 58.0% to 61.5% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 17, 2026
Probability fell from 60.5% to 58.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 16, 2026
Probability rose from 59.5% to 61.0% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 1, 2026
Probability fell from 62.0% to 52.5% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 31, 2026
Probability fell from 61.5% to 51.0% — a 10.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 30, 2026
Probability rose from 58.5% to 62.0% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 29, 2026
Probability rose from 54.0% to 63.5% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 19 tracked outcomes and $461.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Petr Yan be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026, is priced at 62.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice