Who will be UFC Flyweight champion at the end of 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026 at 58.5%.
58.5%+5.5 pts 24h
Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026?
Updated · Volume $1.2M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 58.5% | +5.5 |
| Will Joshua Van be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 36.5% | -8.5 |
| Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 14.9% | +6.0 |
| Will Tatsuro Taira be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 1.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Tim Elliott be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 1.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Amir Albazi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.8% | +0.2 |
| Will Kyoji Horiguchi be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Asu Almabayev be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.5% | — |
| Will Brandon Royval be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Steve Erceg be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.4% | -0.3 |
| Will Brandon Moreno be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Lone'er Kavanagh be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Fighter F be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Fighter E be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Fighter B be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Fighter C be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Fighter G be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Fighter D be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another fighter be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 112.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 19 tracked outcomes and $1.2M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Alexandre Pantoja be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026, is priced at 58.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice