Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026 at 49.5%.
49.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026?
Updated · Volume $273.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Sean Strickland become UFC champion in 2026? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026? | 49.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026? | 44.0% | +33.0 |
| Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026? | 42.5% | -8.5 |
| Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026? | 41.5% | -10.5 |
| Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026? | 39.0% | — |
| Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026? | 38.5% | — |
| Will Dricus Du Plessis become UFC champion in 2026? | 26.5% | — |
| Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026? | 26.0% | — |
| Will Max Holloway become UFC champion in 2026? | 25.5% | -23.5 |
| Will Paddy Pimblett become UFC champion in 2026? | 21.6% | — |
| Will Charles Oliveira become UFC champion in 2026? | 21.5% | -27.5 |
| Will Manel Kape become UFC champion in 2026? | 20.0% | — |
| Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026? | 18.1% | — |
| Will Sergei Pavlovich become UFC champion in 2026? | 12.0% | — |
| Will Kamaru Usman become UFC champion in 2026? | 10.6% | — |
| Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026? | 9.0% | — |
| Will Cory Sandhagen become UFC champion in 2026? | 8.0% | — |
| Will Diego Lopes become UFC champion in 2026? | 6.9% | — |
| Will Magomed Ankalaev become UFC champion in 2026? | 6.2% | — |
| Will Yair Rodriguez become UFC champion in 2026? | 6.0% | -43.0 |
| Will Shavkat Rakhmonov become UFC champion in 2026? | 6.0% | — |
| Will Deiveson Figueiredo become UFC champion in 2026? | 5.7% | — |
| Will Jiří Procházka become UFC champion in 2026? | 4.5% | — |
| Will Belal Muhammad become UFC champion in 2026? | 3.5% | — |
| Will Alexander Volkov become UFC champion in 2026? | 2.9% | — |
| Will Jack Della Maddalena become UFC champion in 2026? | 2.5% | — |
| Will Leon Edwards become UFC champion in 2026? | 2.1% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 277.5% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 28 tracked outcomes and $273.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Aljamain Sterling become UFC champion in 2026, is priced at 49.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice