Who will perform at World Cup halftime show?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price the chance that Shakira appears at the first-ever World Cup halftime show at 99.3%. The event, produced by Global Citizen, is set for July 19, 2026 at MetLife Stadium.
Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show?
Updated · Volume $657.8K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Shakira perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 99.3% | -0.2 |
| Will Justin Bieber perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 99.3% | -0.1 |
| Will BTS perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 98.8% | -0.0 |
| Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 98.7% | -0.2 |
| Will Burna Boy perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 93.3% | -5.6 |
| Will Sabrina Carpenter perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 33.5% | -10.5 |
| Will Karol G perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 31.0% | +19.4 |
| Will Maluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 8.1% | -0.1 |
| Will Bad Bunny perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 5.3% | — |
| Will Camila Cabello perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 5.1% | — |
| Will Tems perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 5.0% | — |
| Will Drake perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 4.2% | — |
| Will Post Malone perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 3.4% | — |
| Will J Balvin perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.9% | — |
| Will Daddy Yankee perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.8% | — |
| Will Jennifer Lopez perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.4% | — |
| Will Wizkid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.3% | — |
| Will Dua Lipa perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.3% | — |
| Will Nicki Minaj perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.1% | — |
| Will Travis Scott perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.1% | — |
| Will Billie Eilish perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.1% | — |
| Will Cardi B perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.1% | — |
| Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.1% | — |
| Will Jay-Z perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.0% | — |
| Will The Weeknd perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 2.0% | — |
| Will Sam Smith perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.7% | — |
| Will Davido perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.6% | — |
| Will Eminem perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.5% | — |
| Will Rosalía perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.5% | — |
| Will Myke Towers perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.5% | — |
| Will Charli XCX perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.5% | — |
| Will Peso Pluma perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.5% | — |
| Will Ariana Grande perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.5% | — |
| Will Rauw Alejandro perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.4% | — |
| Will Ed Sheeran perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.3% | — |
| Will Chappell Roan perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.3% | — |
| Will David Guetta perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.3% | — |
| Will Olivia Rodrigo perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.3% | — |
| Will Adele perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.2% | — |
| Will Taylor Swift perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.2% | — |
| Will Beyoncé perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.1% | — |
| Will Lady Gaga perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.1% | — |
| Will SZA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.1% | — |
| Will Harry Styles perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 1.1% | — |
| Will Kendrick Lamar perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 0.7% | — |
| Will Feid perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 0.7% | — |
| Will Pitbull perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Calvin Harris perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Ozuna perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Anuel AA perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Bruno Mars perform at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final halftime show? | 0.3% | — |
The headline outcome is near-certain, while the remaining scenarios are long shots.
Context
The odds on Shakira performing have traded between 2.3% and 81.6% and currently sit at 99.3%.9 min ago The contract picked up -10.5 pts in the past day, suggesting minimal drift. To resolve 'Yes', the market requires Shakira to appear live during the official halftime show on July 19, 2026. A qualifying performance includes any live appearance, even a guest spot without a full set. If the event is cancelled or postponed beyond September 30, 2026, the contract settles at 'No'. Resolution will rely on official footage or a consensus of credible reporting. The clearest catalysts are the event date itself—July 19, 2026—and any official announcements or leaks regarding the performer lineup. Since the resolution source is the actual show and subsequent reporting, no external data releases will shift the probability directly.
FAQ
What exactly constitutes a live performance for this market?
Any live appearance during the halftime show counts, including guest features, even if the artist does not perform a full set.
What happens if the final is postponed or cancelled?
If the event is postponed beyond September 30, 2026, or cancelled outright, the market resolves to 'No' for all performers.
How is the result verified?
Resolution is based primarily on official footage of the halftime show, supplemented by a consensus of credible media reporting if needed.
Does the performer have to be officially announced beforehand?
No. The market only cares whether the artist appears live at the show, regardless of prior announcements.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice