Sep 8, 2026
Probability fell from 20.5% to 16.0% — a 4.5-point move over the past day.
Seattle Seahawks White House Visit in 2026: Market Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price the chance of the Seahawks visiting the White House in 2026 at 9.5%, making it a unlikely prospect tied to a championship season and a physical appearance at the executive mansion by the final deadline.
9.5%-1.0 pts 24h
Updated · Volume $60.0K
The 'Yes' outcome is a unlikely prospect; the alternative 'No' scenario dominates the remaining probability.
Context
Sep 7, 2026
Probability fell from 27.0% to 18.5% — a 8.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 9, 2026
Probability fell from 22.5% to 18.5% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 8, 2026
Probability fell from 24.5% to 19.0% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 6, 2026
Probability fell from 32.0% to 22.0% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 17, 2026
Probability rose from 21.5% to 31.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
The probability has traded between 7.0% and 28.5% since the market opened, moving. As of 13 min ago, it sits at 9.5%, reflecting a unlikely assessment. Resolution is binary: a 'Yes' requires at least one Seahawks representative—a player, coach, or official team staff member—to physically visit the White House complex for an official event, reception, or meeting with the President before Jan 1, 2027. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not qualify. The outcome will be determined by a consensus of credible reporting. The Jan 1, 2027 deadline creates a firm window; any confirmed visit before then would settle the market. A prerequisite is a Seahawks championship win. After a title, official White House invitation and team acceptance announcements would become relevant. Leaks or pre-announcements could also trigger repricing, as the resolution relies on credible reporting.
FAQ
What counts as a White House visit for this market?
A visit requires at least one Seahawks player, coach, or official team staff member to be physically present on White House grounds for an official reception, ceremony, or meeting with the President.
Who must represent the Seahawks?
The representative must be a player, coach, or other official team personnel formally affiliated with the Seattle Seahawks organization.
Does a virtual event qualify?
No. Engagements held elsewhere in Washington, D.C., at other U.S. government facilities, or via virtual platforms do not meet the market’s criteria.
When does the market resolve?
The market resolves after a visit occurs, or at the deadline of December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, if no qualifying visit has taken place.
How is the outcome determined?
Resolution is based on a consensus of credible reporting about whether a physical visit to the White House complex by Seahawks representatives took place.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice