Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled at 95.0%.

95.0%-1.7 pts 24h

Updated · Volume $238.6K

92%94%97%99%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 1 tracked outcome and $238.6K in total trading volume.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice