Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027 at 43.5%.
43.5%-2.0 pts 24h
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027?
Updated · Volume $1.1M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027? | 43.5% | -2.0 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by June 30, 2027? | 29.5% | +4.0 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026? | 1.9% | +0.6 |
The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $1.1M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027, is priced at 43.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice