Aug 7, 2026
Probability rose from 79.0% to 87.5% — a 8.5-point move over the past day.
WNBA: 2026 MVP: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award at 92.5%.
92.5%0.0 pts 24h
Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award?
Updated · Volume $232.2K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 92.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Caitlin Clark win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 2.6% | -1.2 |
| Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 1.8% | -0.5 |
| Will Kelsey Plum win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Satou Sabally win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Allisha Gray win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rhyne Howard win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Napheesa Collier win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Alyssa Thomas win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Jackie Young win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Breanna Stewart win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Gabby Williams win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Paige Bueckers win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Sabrina Ionescu win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Nneka Ogwumike win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Player V win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AB win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AE win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player W win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AC win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AH win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player U win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player I win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player M win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player E win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player C win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AN win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player D win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AF win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AK win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AG win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AJ win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will someone else win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player R win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AA win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player L win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player X win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player Z win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AD win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AM win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player G win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player F win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player Y win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player S win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player K win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player H win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player N win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player P win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player Q win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player T win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player O win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player J win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AL win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player B win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player AI win the 2026 WNBA MVP award? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.5% of the total probability.
Context
Aug 7, 2026
Probability rose from 79.0% to 84.5% — a 5.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 2, 2026
Probability fell from 80.5% to 79.0% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
Aug 1, 2026
Probability fell from 80.0% to 79.0% — a 1.0-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 55 tracked outcomes and $232.2K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA MVP award, is priced at 92.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice