Olivia Miles 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year Odds & Probability

Prediction markets give Olivia Miles a 97.9% chance of winning the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award, making her the near-certain favorite.

97.9%+1.8 pts 24h

Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?

Updated · Volume $796.9K

86%90%95%100%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Olivia Miles win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?97.9%+1.8
Will Madina Okot win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?1.1%0.0
Will Kiki Rice win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.5%-0.1
Will Azzi Fudd win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.4%-1.1
Will Cotie McMahon win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.3%-2.6
Will Raven Johnson win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.3%0.0
Will Flau'jae Johnson win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.3%-0.4
Will Awa Fam win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.3%-0.5
Will Ta'Niya Latson win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.3%
Will Lauren Betts win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.2%
Will Georgia Amoore win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.2%
Will Angela Dugalic win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.1%
Will Gianna Kneepkens win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.1%
Will Gabriela Jaquez win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.1%
Will Nell Angloma win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.1%
Will Isobel Borlase win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.1%
Will Player U win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AB win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AK win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AL win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AM win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player Z win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player C win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player M win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AH win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player H win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player W win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AN win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AD win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player P win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player K win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AC win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player O win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player S win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player X win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AA win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player Y win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AF win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player J win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player D win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player B win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player F win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AJ win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AG win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player R win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AI win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player A win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player T win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player I win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player AE win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will someone else win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player Q win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player V win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player E win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player G win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player L win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%
Will Player N win the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award?0.0%

Olivia Miles is the clear frontrunner, while the remaining candidates are all trading at long-shot levels.

Context

The probability for Olivia Miles to claim the award currently sits at 97.9%. It has oscillated between 87.5% and 98.0% in recent trading. The past 24 hours saw a move of +1.8 pts, The trajectory has been one of steady confidence, with only minor fluctuations visible in the chart. This market resolves to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year award. In a tie, the official winner per WNBA rules is used; if multiple winners are named, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically takes the market. Should the season be cancelled, postponed beyond October 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, or otherwise fail to produce a winner by that deadline, the market settles to 'Other'. The resolution source is official WNBA information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Several formal factors could shift the price as the season unfolds. The market has a defined resolution date of Sep 25, 2026. Any news about the award, particularly from official WNBA sources or credible reports, could prompt repricing. The hard deadline of October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, by which a winner must be declared or the market resolves to 'Other', adds another structural element. Additionally, the use of alphabetical tie-breaking in the event of multiple winners is a specific detail that could influence the interpretation of close races.

FAQ

How does the market handle a tie for Rookie of the Year?

If the WNBA announces multiple winners, the market resolves to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.

What if the 2026 WNBA season is cancelled?

If the season is cancelled or postponed beyond October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or no winner is declared by that time, the market resolves to “Other”.

What is the resolution source for this market?

Official WNBA information is the primary source, but a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

When does the market resolve?

The market resolves once the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year winner is officially announced, with a final deadline of October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Does the market consider any other outcomes?

Yes, the market includes “Other” as a catch-all for any winner not specifically listed, but currently all listed players other than Olivia Miles are long shots.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice