WNBA: 2026 Rookie of the Year Odds & Probability

The market has assigned a 99.2% probability to Olivia Miles, establishing her as near-certain. Over the period tracked, the figure has ranged from 88.3% to 99.3%. This market resolves to the player who wins the 2026 WNBA Rookie of the Year Award. In the event of a tie, the official winner as determined by WNBA rules is used; if multiple winners are announced, the contract settles on the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. Should the season be cancelled, postponed after October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if no winner is declared by that time, the market resolves to “Other”. The resolution source is official information from the Women’s National Basketball Association, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The probability is sensitive to any development that affects the declaration of a winner. This includes the progression of the 2026 WNBA season, the announcement of the award itself, and the hard cutoff of Sep 25, 2026, after which an absent winner sends the contract to “Other”. Because the resolution relies on official sources, league statements and credible reporting can shift the odds.