Sep 13, 2026
Probability rose from 59.0% to 62.0% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
WNBA Assists Leader: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets see Alyssa Thomas as close to a coin flip to top the WNBA assists-per-game chart in 2026, pricing her at 56.0%. She edged ahead of a competitive field that includes Caitlin Clark and Chelsea Gray.
56.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
Updated · Volume $433.0K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Caitlin Clark have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 56.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Alyssa Thomas have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 43.0% | -0.5 |
| Will Jordin Canada have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| Will Olivia Miles have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.3% | -0.1 |
| Will Kelsey Plum have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Jessica Shepard have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Jackie Young have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Paige Bueckers have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Julie Vanloo have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Veronica Burton have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Skylar Diggins have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Chelsea Gray have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Player D have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player O have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player E have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player G have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player L have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player H have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player N have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player B have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player J have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will someone else have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player F have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player I have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player M have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player K have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player A have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Player C have the highest assists per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
Caitlin Clark holds a 43.0% probability, putting her in the close to a coin flip category; Chelsea Gray is right behind at 0.4%, a effectively ruled out. The remaining nine players are all remote possibilities.
Context
Sep 11, 2026
Probability fell from 58.5% to 48.0% — a 10.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 8, 2026
Probability fell from 62.5% to 58.5% — a 4.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 8, 2026
Probability rose from 59.5% to 62.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 7, 2026
Probability rose from 56.0% to 62.5% — a 6.5-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Sep 6, 2026
Probability rose from 59.5% to 62.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 5, 2026
Probability rose from 39.5% to 51.5% — a 12.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 5, 2026
Probability fell from 60.0% to 57.5% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 2, 2026
Probability rose from 57.5% to 61.0% — a 3.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 1, 2026
Probability fell from 60.0% to 58.5% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
Prediction markets have settled on Alyssa Thomas as the marginal favorite for the 2026 WNBA assists title. As of 14 min ago, the market prices her chances at 56.0% — a close to a coin flip proposition. The contract has seen a low of 47.0% and a high of 65.0% since it began trading, with around $433.0K in volume changing hands. The market draws attention from both basketball analysts and casual fans, given the star power of the contenders. Behind Thomas, a pack of elite distributors — including Caitlin Clark and Chelsea Gray — keeps the probability from running away. Resolution will depend on the official WNBA leaderboard after the regular season's end. To qualify, a player must meet the minimum games and statistical thresholds set by the league. In the event of a tie for the highest assists per game average, the tiebreaker is: first, the player who appeared in more games; and if still tied, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the season is called off or delayed past October 8, 2026, the bet settles as 'Other'.
FAQ
When will this market be resolved?
The market resolves based on the final assists per game leaderboard after the 2026 WNBA regular season. If the season is canceled or postponed beyond October 8, 2026, the market resolves to 'Other'.
What happens if two players tie for the lead?
If multiple players have the same assists per game average, the tie is broken first by games played (the player with more games wins). If still tied, the player whose last name comes first alphabetically wins.
Who is the current favorite?
The market gives Alyssa Thomas a 56.0% probability, making her close to a coin flip.
Which players are the main challengers?
Caitlin Clark (43.0%) is a close to a coin flip, and Chelsea Gray (0.4%) is a effectively ruled out. Several other players are in the mix but priced as long shots.
What data source determines the leader?
The official WNBA statistics page (stats.wnba.com) is the resolution source. Player qualification follows league rules.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice