Jul 16, 2026
Probability rose from 46.5% to 100.0% — a 53.4-point move over the past day.
Around this time: FIFA World Cup final: Date, time, halftime show, prediction and Trump — Al Jazeera
2026 World Cup Final: Spain vs Argentina Matchup Odds
Prediction markets have settled Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World CupEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $362.9K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 100.0% | — |
| Will the final be a different matchup at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 50.0% | — |
| Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | — |
| Will the final be FRA vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be BEL vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be FRA vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be BEL vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be BEL vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be ESP vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be MAR vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be FRA vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be ESP vs NOR at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be FRA vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be MAR vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be BEL vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be MAR vs SUI at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the final be MAR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice