Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 59.5% to 62.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
World Cup: Group of Champion Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group HEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $129.1K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H? | 100.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from another group? | 50.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group E? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group G? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group K? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group C? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group D? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group F? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group L? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group B? | 0.0% | — |
| Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group A? | 0.0% | — |
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice