Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 39.0% to 87.5% — a 48.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: FIFA World Cup 2026 sees major increase in goals from outside the box — Al Jazeera
Markets price the chance that Kylian Mbappé finishes with the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 100.0%, making him the near-certain favorite.
Updated · Volume $192.0K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Leandro Bacuna record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 4 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 54 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 13 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 41 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 51 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 26 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 60 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 29 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 59 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 48 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 16 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Martin Boyle record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mohammed Kudus record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Lyle Foster record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Cody Gakpo record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Erling Haaland record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Arda Güler record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Granit Xhaka record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 21 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Son Heung-min record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 19 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 34 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 44 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Raphinha record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 46 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 6 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ermedin Demirović record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 27 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 40 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Salem Al-Dawsari record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 52 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sébastien Haller record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ondřej Duda record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Frantzdy Pierrot record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Christoph Baumgartner record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Scott McTominay record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 12 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 45 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 56 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 31 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will someone else record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 17 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 8 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 39 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 15 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 55 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Harry Kane record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Santiago Giménez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 10 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Eldor Shomurodov record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Viktor Gyökeres record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 7 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Aymen Hussein record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jamal Musiala record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mehdi Taremi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Lionel Messi record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Youssef En-Nesyri record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sadio Mané record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 37 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 53 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Akram Afif record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 30 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 24 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 14 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Julio Enciso record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 28 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 35 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Luis Díaz record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 5 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ismael Díaz record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Federico Valverde record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Hannibal Mejbri record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 32 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Lamine Yamal record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 9 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 23 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Lautaro Martínez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 50 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Kaoru Mitoma record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Andrej Kramarić record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Cédric Bakambu record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Enner Valencia record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 22 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jonathan David record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 57 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Musa Al-Taamari record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mohamed Salah record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 42 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 47 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Romelu Lukaku record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Christian Pulisic record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 58 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 18 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 33 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 43 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 25 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 36 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Julio Tavares record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 38 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Chris Wood record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Rafael Leão record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 11 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 49 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 20 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Riyad Mahrez record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player 3 record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
Kylian Mbappé is the overwhelming favorite; the rest of the field is priced at long-shot odds.
Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 39.0% to 87.5% — a 48.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: FIFA World Cup 2026 sees major increase in goals from outside the box — Al Jazeera
Jul 18, 2026
Probability rose from 40.5% to 60.5% — a 20.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 18, 2026
Probability rose from 61.1% to 71.4% — a 10.3-point move over the past day.
Jul 17, 2026
Probability rose from 59.6% to 61.1% — a 1.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 16, 2026
Probability rose from 38.4% to 61.7% — a 23.3-point move over the past day.
Markets have installed Kylian Mbappé as the near-certain favorite to lead the 2026 World Cup in combined goals and assists. As of 63 d ago, the contract trades at 100.0%. Total volume stands at $192.0K. The market settles based on the player who tallies the most goal contributions—goals plus assists—across all rounds of the 2026 tournament. In the event of a tie, the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules prevails; if multiple leaders are named, the market resolves to the player with more goals. Should a further deadlock persist, the nod goes to the player whose last name comes first alphabetically. If the competition is canceled or postponed past the market’s specified deadline, or no official leader is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves to “Other.” The primary resolution source is official FIFA information, though a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Only goals and assists officially recorded during the 2026 FIFA World Cup are combined.
The market first looks to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If FIFA names multiple leaders, it resolves to the player who scored more goals. If the tie still persists, it settles on the player whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Should the tournament be cancelled or postponed past the market’s specified deadline, or if no official leader is declared within that timeframe, the market resolves as “Other.”
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice