Jul 16, 2026
Probability fell from 2.9% to 0.4% — a 2.6-point move over the past day.
Will the 2026 World Cup Break the Yellow Card Record?
Prediction markets have settled World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record Broken at 0.1%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
World Cup: Single Match Yellow Cards Record BrokenEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $59.1K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
Context
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice