Jul 20, 2026
Probability rose from 28.1% to 100.0% — a 71.9-point move over the past day.
Argentina to Be Top-Scoring Nation at 2026 World Cup: Market Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World CupEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $2.3M
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | — |
| Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Spain score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Austria score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Cape Verde score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will South Korea score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Curaçao score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sweden score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Japan score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will South Africa score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ecuador score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Country B score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jordan score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Australia score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Türkiye score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Brazil score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Czechia score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Iran score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Netherlands score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ivory Coast score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will DR Congo score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Tunisia score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Switzerland score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Iraq score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Colombia score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Haiti score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will United States score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Canada score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another country score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Country C score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Egypt score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will New Zealand score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Uruguay score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Belgium score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Croatia score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Uzbekistan score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Country E score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Norway score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Panama score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Saudi Arabia score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Portugal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Germany score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Country D score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Algeria score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ghana score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Qatar score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mexico score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Morocco score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Senegal score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Country A score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Paraguay score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Scotland score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 19, 2026
Probability rose from 0.1% to 55.5% — a 55.3-point move over the past day.
Jul 19, 2026
Probability fell from 91.4% to 70.3% — a 21.2-point move over the past day.
Jul 18, 2026
Probability fell from 92.2% to 78.0% — a 14.2-point move over the past day.
Jul 16, 2026
Probability rose from 79.0% to 92.4% — a 13.4-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice