2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis): Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open at 53.5%.
53.5%-3.0 pts 24h
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Updated · Volume $3.2M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 53.5% | -3.0 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 22.0% | +10.0 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 7.5% | -0.3 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 5.0% | -0.9 |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 2.2% | -0.3 |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 2.1% | -0.1 |
| Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 1.8% | -0.5 |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 1.1% | — |
| Will Jack Draper win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 1.1% | — |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 1.1% | — |
| Will Jakub Mensik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 1.0% | -0.3 |
| Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.9% | — |
| Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.8% | — |
| Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.7% | — |
| Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.7% | — |
| Will Alexander Bublik win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.5% | — |
| Will Jiri Lehecka win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.5% | — |
| Will Matteo Berrettini win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.5% | — |
| Will Hubert Hurkacz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.4% | — |
| Will Holger Rune win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.2% | — |
| Will Player Q win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player S win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player T win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player V win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player W win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player Z win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player G win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player U win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player N win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player D win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player A win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player B win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player O win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player Y win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player J win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player I win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player K win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Other win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player R win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player X win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player L win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player P win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player E win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player C win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player F win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player H win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Player M win the 2026 Men's US Open? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 90.1% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 49 tracked outcomes and $3.2M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open, is priced at 53.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice