Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open — NO. A week before, markets priced it at 0%.
Prediction markets have settled Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Updated · Volume $11.4M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Madison Keys win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Karolina Muchova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Amanda Anisimova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Iga Swiatek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Clara Tauson win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Anastasia Potapova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ashlyn Krueger win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Daria Snigur win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Xiyu Wang win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Peyton Stearns win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Iva Jovic win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Emma Raducanu win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Beatriz Haddad Maia win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Marta Kostyuk win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Maya Joint win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Maja Chwalinska win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jelena Ostapenko win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sofia Kenin win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Nadia Podoroska win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Janice Tjen win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Lilli Tagger win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Taylor Townsend win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Elisabetta Cocciaretto win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Caty McNally win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Linda Noskova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Coco Gauff win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Viktorija Golubic win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Donna Vekic win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Magda Linette win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Marketa Vondrousova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Diana Shnaider win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Anna Kalinskaya win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Maria Sakkari win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Mirra Andreeva win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Leylah Fernandez win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Barbora Krejcikova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Other win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Naomi Osaka win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Zeynep Sonmez win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Belinda Bencic win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Katerina Siniakova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Liudmila Samsonova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sara Bejlek win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Victoria Mboko win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Tereza Valentova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jessica Pegula win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Emma Navarro win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Elise Mertens win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sloane Stephens win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Diane Parry win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Sorana Cirstea win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Jasmine Paolini win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Marie Bouzkova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Daria Kasatkina win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Magdalena Frech win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Cristina Bucsa win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ekaterina Alexandrova win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Camila Osorio win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Dayana Yastremska win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Ann Li win the 2026 Women’s US Open? | 0.0% | — |
Sep 13, 2026
Resolved: Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open — NO. A week before, markets priced it at 0%.
Sep 12, 2026
Probability rose from 43.1% to 62.3% — a 19.2-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina live: US Open women’s singles final 2026 — Al Jazeera
Sep 11, 2026
Probability rose from 36.5% to 56.0% — a 19.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: US Open tennis 2026 women’s semi-finals: Sabalenka v Pegula, Gauff v Rybakina – live — The Guardian US
Sep 10, 2026
Probability fell from 40.0% to 37.5% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Around this time: US Open 2026 quarter-finals: Zheng v Rybakina, Andreeva v Gauff – live — The Guardian US
Sep 9, 2026
Probability rose from 28.5% to 38.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Sabalenka holds off Noskova to keep US Open three-peat bid alive — Al Jazeera
Sep 8, 2026
Probability rose from 18.8% to 22.2% — a 3.4-point move over the past day.
Around this time: US Open tennis 2026: Swiatek v Zheng, Osaka v Rybakina and more on day nine – live — The Guardian US
Aug 31, 2026
Probability rose from 0.0% to 42.9% — a 42.9-point move over the past day.
Around this time: US Open 2026: Alcaraz and Sabalenka enter fray on day two after Djokovic shock – live — The Guardian US
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice