2027 French Presidential Election: National Rally Candidate: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election at 93.5%.
Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?
Updated · Volume $227.6K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | 93.5% | +0.5 |
| Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | 4.9% | +0.6 |
| Will Multiple Candidates be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | 0.5% | 0.0 |
| Will Other be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election? | 0.0% | — |
The top 4 outcomes account for 98.9% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 4 tracked outcomes and $227.6K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Marine Le Pen be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election, is priced at 93.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice