AL-01 House Election Winner Odds

The contract currently sits at 95.0% Data updated 14 min ago. This market resolves according to the party of the candidate who wins Alabama’s 1st congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections, set for November 3, 2026. A candidate’s party is determined by their ballot-listed affiliation at the time the election is conclusively called. Candidates without a ballot-listed party are assigned to the party with which they most recently expressed intent to caucus. Settlement relies on a consensus of credible reporting, with the Federal Election Commission’s official results as a tiebreaker in ambiguous cases. The election on Nov 4, 2026 and any subsequent certification reports are the key formal milestones. Developments that alter views on the Republican candidate’s prospects—such as candidate announcements, fundraising figures, or district-level polling—could shift the price. The market will not resolve until the outcome is clear per the rules above.