Alaska Governor Election Winner : Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election at 78.5%.
78.5%+1.8 pts 24h
Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
Updated · Volume $1.6M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 78.5% | +1.8 |
| Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 21.5% | 0.0 |
| Will David Bronson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 1.2% | -0.3 |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Click Bishop win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Adam Crum win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Lisa Murkowski win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Edna DeVries win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Destry J. Payne Sr. win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Hank Kroll win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Shelley Hughes win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Gregg Brelsford win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Jessica Faircloth win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Lesil McGuire win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Alaska governor election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.2% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 23 tracked outcomes and $1.6M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election, is priced at 78.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice