Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026 at 29.0%.

29.0%+1.5 pts 24h

Updated · Volume $3.6M

11%21%32%42%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 1 tracked outcome and $3.6M in total trading volume.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice