Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026 at 28.5%.

28.5%0.0 pts 24h

Updated · Volume $3.7M

22%28%34%40%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 1 tracked outcome and $3.7M in total trading volume.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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