Bulgaria Presidential Election: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election at 41.5%.

41.5%-0.5 pts 24h

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Updated · Volume $188.3K

23%35%48%60%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?41.5%-0.5
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?41.0%+4.0
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?4.3%0.0
Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?2.3%+1.4
Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?1.9%-0.5
Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?1.4%-0.1
Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?1.4%0.0
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?0.4%0.0
Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election?0.3%
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?0.3%
Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?0.3%
Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?0.3%
Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?0.1%
Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?0.1%
Will someone else win the next Bulgarian presidential election?0.0%

The top 5 outcomes account for 90.9% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $188.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election, is priced at 41.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice