Oct 1, 2026
Probability rose from 79.5% to 81.5% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.
Bulgaria’s 2026 Presidential Election: Market Odds
Prediction markets price Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election at 88.5%.
88.5%+1.0 pts 24h
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Updated · Volume $1.2M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 88.5% | +1.0 |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 10.5% | -1.0 |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Boyko Borissov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Krum Zarkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Atanas Atanasov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Delyan Peevski win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Natalia Kiselova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Yanaki Stoilov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Vassil Terziev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rosen Plevneliev win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will someone else win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.5% of the total probability.
Context
Oct 1, 2026
Probability fell from 80.5% to 78.5% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 29, 2026
Probability rose from 79.5% to 81.5% — a 2.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 28, 2026
Probability rose from 79.5% to 82.5% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Sep 27, 2026
Probability rose from 66.5% to 79.5% — a 13.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Sep 26, 2026
Probability rose from 73.5% to 83.0% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.
Sep 11, 2026
Probability fell from 75.5% to 61.5% — a 14.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 29, 2026
Probability rose from 57.0% to 71.5% — a 14.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 28, 2026
Probability rose from 54.5% to 68.5% — a 14.0-point move over the past day.
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 15 tracked outcomes and $1.2M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election, is priced at 88.5%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice