Clacton by-election: Nigel Farage Vote %: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election at 99.9%.
99.9%
Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
Updated · Volume $1.6M
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | 99.9% | — |
| Will Nigel Farage win less than 40% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Nigel Farage win 70–80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Nigel Farage win at least 80% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Nigel Farage win 50–60% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Nigel Farage win 40–50% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? | 0.0% | — |
The top 5 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 6 tracked outcomes and $1.6M in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Nigel Farage win 60–70% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election, is priced at 99.9%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice