Aug 13, 2026
Probability rose from 92.6% to 98.2% — a 5.6-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Cook Islands election: PM Mark Brown speaks on the diplomatic crises that defined his year — The Guardian
Cook Islands Party to Win Most Seats in 2026: Market Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections at 99.7%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary electionsEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $73.9K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Cook Islands Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 99.7% | — |
| Will another party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 50.0% | — |
| Will Cook Islands United Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.3% | — |
| Will Democratic Party win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Aug 12, 2026
Probability fell from 95.3% to 93.3% — a 2.1-point move over the past day.
Around this time: Cook Islands election: PM Mark Brown speaks on the diplomatic crises that defined his year — The Guardian
Aug 6, 2026
Probability rose from 93.5% to 96.5% — a 3.0-point move over the past day.
Aug 5, 2026
Probability rose from 93.5% to 96.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice