Jul 28, 2026
Probability rose from 93.5% to 96.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
Kansas Democratic Senate Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in KansasEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $180.5K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Adam Hamilton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Christy Davis be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Damon Anderson be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Sandy Spidel Neumann be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Michael Soetaert be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Anne Parelkar be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Jason Hart be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Kevin Latz be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Sharice Davids be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another candidate be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Erik Murray be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Noah Taylor be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Patrick Schmidt be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Kansas? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Jul 27, 2026
Probability rose from 93.5% to 96.0% — a 2.5-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice