Aug 3, 2026
Probability rose from 89.0% to 96.0% — a 7.0-point move over the past day.
Kansas Governor Republican Primary Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets have settled Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election at 100.0%. Trading has effectively closed; the outcome is decided and official platform settlement is pending.
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary electionEvent concluded — awaiting official settlement
Updated · Volume $160.0K
Market opened recently — probability history is accumulating.
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 100.0% | — |
| Will Joy Eakins win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Stacy Rogers win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Charlotte O’Hara win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 0.1% | — |
| Will Jeff Colyer win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Scott Schwab win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will Vicki Schmidt win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
| Will another candidate win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | 0.0% | — |
Context
Aug 1, 2026
Probability rose from 81.0% to 91.5% — a 10.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 28, 2026
Probability rose from 76.5% to 81.5% — a 5.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 27, 2026
Probability fell from 83.5% to 76.5% — a 7.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 23, 2026
Probability rose from 78.0% to 84.0% — a 6.0-point move over the past day.
Show earlier updates
Jul 22, 2026
Probability rose from 73.0% to 82.5% — a 9.5-point move over the past day.
Jul 20, 2026
Probability fell from 80.0% to 73.0% — a 7.0-point move over the past day.
Jul 19, 2026
Probability fell from 83.5% to 73.5% — a 10.0-point move over the past day.
This event has concluded — market prices have moved to their final values and no longer reflect live uncertainty.
The platform has not yet posted its official settlement, so figures may show small residual values until then. Final prices for every outcome are listed below.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice