Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election at 89.6%.
89.6%+0.5 pts 24h
Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?
Updated · Volume $219.1K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 89.6% | +0.5 |
| Will Suverēnā Vara (SV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 5.1% | +0.2 |
| Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 3.5% | -0.1 |
| Will Latvija Pirmajā Vietā (LPV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 2.1% | -0.1 |
| Will Nacionālā Apvienība (NA) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.4% | -0.1 |
| Will Jaunā Vienotība (JV) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.2% | -0.1 |
| Will Sociāldemokrātiskā Partija “Saskaņa” (S) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Stabilitātei! (ST!) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Party K win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party B win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party U win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party T win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party V win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party J win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Q win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party S win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party W win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party I win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party D win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party E win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party F win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party G win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party H win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party M win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party N win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party P win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party R win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party A win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will another party win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party L win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party X win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Z win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party Y win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party C win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Party O win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? | 0.0% | 0.0 |
The top 5 outcomes account for 99.4% of the total probability.
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 36 tracked outcomes and $219.1K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will Apvienotais Saraksts (AS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election, is priced at 89.6%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice