Lima Mayoral Election Winner: Odds & Probability
Prediction markets price Will someone else win the next Lima mayoral elections at 50.0%.
50.0%0.0 pts 24h
Will someone else win the next Lima mayoral elections?
Updated · Volume $546.4K
| Outcome | Probability | 24h |
|---|---|---|
| Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 92.4% | +4.6 |
| Will someone else win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 50.0% | 0.0 |
| Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 1.2% | -1.7 |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.2% | 0.0 |
| Will Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Santiago Rosendo Abarca León win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Segundo Valdez Zavala win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Samir Frank Quispe Caballero win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Samuel Marcos Daza Taype win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Rubén José Ramírez Mateo win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Sandro Caller Gutiérrez win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Flor de María Hurtado Valdez win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Jessica Viviana Linares Romero win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
| Will Yehude Simón Munaro win the next Lima mayoral elections? | 0.1% | 0.0 |
Context
This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.
This market has 24 tracked outcomes and $546.4K in total trading volume.
The most closely contested outcome, Will someone else win the next Lima mayoral elections, is priced at 50.0%.
Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice