Maine Senate Election Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026 at 69.5%.

69.5%0.0 pts 24h

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Updated · Volume $1.2M

65%68%70%73%Aug 1Aug 8Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?69.5%0.0
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?30.5%-1.0
Will a candidate not listed above win the Maine Senate race in 2026?0.0%0.0

The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $1.2M in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026, is priced at 69.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice

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