Maine Senate Election Winner: Odds & Probability

Prediction markets price Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026 at 65.5%.

65.5%+1.5 pts 24h

Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?

Updated · Volume $989.3K

45%53%61%69%Jun 14Jun 22Jun 29Jul 7Jul 14
OutcomeProbability24h
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?65.5%+1.5
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?34.5%-1.5
Will a candidate not listed above win the Maine Senate race in 2026?0.0%

The top 3 outcomes account for 100.0% of the total probability.

Context

This probability comes from live prices on prediction markets, where a contract's price equals the implied chance of the outcome. It updates continuously as trading occurs.

This market has 3 tracked outcomes and $989.3K in total trading volume.

The most closely contested outcome, Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026, is priced at 65.5%.

Data: Polymarket · Methodology · Not financial advice